Arkansas vs Auburn 10/16/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arkansas winning 47% of simulations, and Auburn 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arkansas commits fewer turnovers in 53% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Auburn wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ryan Mallett is averaging 280 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Cameron Newton is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is AUB -3

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